In a report issued last week, the Conference Board
-- one of the most trusted voices in economic research – gave some sobering
news to US employers. They will be dealing with a major labor shortage for the
next 15 years.
The researchers cited various reasons for the
crisis. Among them were: economic growth going step-for-step with employment
growth; new entrants to the workforce being ill-prepared for working in health
care or skilled trades; retiring baby boomers; and very weak labor productivity
growth.
What they failed to mention as a key contributor to
this matter is the simple fact that fewer people are interested in working.
The workforce participation rate is currently at 63
percent after bottoming out at 62.4 percent in September, which was its lowest
mark in almost four decades. More than 94 million working age Americans are not
employed or interested in employment (compare that to the 122 million Americans
who are working at least 35 hours a week).
This indifference to breaking a sweat can only
occur when the government makes it too easy to not work. In a 2012 study I did
for the New American magazine I looked at a market basket of federal programs
related to health coverage, housing, food, heating, and cell phones and found
that families that were collecting all such things from the public dole were
receiving over $44,000 in benefits per year. While cash poor, they weren’t poor
in the truest sense because they had access to all of the needs and some of the
wants that the working class had to, as their name implies, work to get.
That study looked only at benefits and not any incomes
that people could receive while not working. Such incomes would include but are
not limited to child tax credits, unemployment, and, what has become the new
welfare – disability.
Disability has had a great impact on the decision
to not work, thanks to modified federal programs which make it easier than ever
before to collect a government check, morphing from their original intent to do
good for those who are actually physically or mentally unable to work. It is
now a system rife with fraud and abuses, all for a $1,000 to $1,200 monthly
stipend.
A telling 2013 report from National Public Radio (which
does not have a tradition of attacking social welfare programs) looked at this
in-depth and found that people were collecting checks for made-up ailments and
manageable woes like high blood pressure and diabetes, while costing US
taxpayers $260 billion annually, threatening to bankrupt Social Security in 15
years.
If you don’t think that disability is being abused,
consider this: 27 percent of Lockport city residents are considered disabled. Drive
around the city and take a look at the residents; do you really think that more
than 1 in 4 working adults in the Lock City are unfit for work?
Unless there is some wholesale change in federal
programs that could theoretically cover someone’s whole existence from cradle
to grave, almost 100 million Americans (and growing) will continue to choose
the easy way out and not work, accounting for the long-term labor shortage that
is primed to deeply affect the economy. Our economy – and our federal finances
-- will continue to be on the shoulders of the 122 million Americans who are
toughing it out and working for their personal benefit and, obviously, that of
too many others.
From the 25 April 2016 Greater Niagara Newspapers
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