A conversation that I regularly have with parents
of high schoolers centers on the job market that their children will enter. The
post-recession economy is tough enough for mom and dad, so they can’t help but
wonder what might be the best path of study for their kids to pursue in college
and, in turn, what sort of career should they prepare for to ensure a
comfortable adulthood.
It’s to the point now that in those conversations I
deemphasize the importance of college and suggest that parents inspire their
teens to go after a career that is not predicated on a college degree. Economic
and employment trends are showing both immediate and long-term needs for
skilled tradesman. A teenager would be far better off by abandoning the college
preparatory, general education tract in high school and, instead, entering
BOCES and/or preparing for trade school after graduating.
It’s an outcome of supply and demand; there’s just
too much competition for a finite number of job openings that require college
degrees to warrant an investment in a diploma.
This wasn’t always the case. Just a generation or
two ago, the college-educated were at a premium and, accordingly, could fetch a
premium. Following World War II, only 5 percent of Americans could claim a
college degree. In 1970, only 26 percent of the middle class workforce had
received any education beyond the twelfth grade. Now, more than 3 in 10 have a
degree, while 70 percent of young Americans enter college within 2 years of
their high school graduation.
Due to this glut of educated workers, employers
either can’t match candidates to jobs for which they became enlightened
(over-qualification) or they can command lower wages paid for college graduates
than one would have assumed just a decade ago or what one expects based on the
size of the post-secondary investment (those are the outcomes of over-supply).
Not a day goes by that this isn’t proven across
America.
Newspapers have been chock full of reports of
college graduates having to accept what they perceive to be menial jobs since
businesses in their career field aren’t hiring while many more have had to move
back into their family’s homes to make ends meet, inspiring the title of the
“Boomerang Generation”.
There is truth to be had in those anecdotal
reports. The Center for College Affordability and Productivity says that roughly
half of college graduates are working jobs that don't require a degree. The
Census Bureau’s American Community Survey shows that 21 percent of college
graduates up to the age of 34 live with their parents, an increase of 62
percent versus the findings of 2001’s survey.
To think, all of this misery for degrees that
parents, teachers, guidance counselors and popular culture have painted as
“must-haves”, which end up leaving the average college graduate with $27,000 in
debt. Without the job opportunities to make good on the potential they have –
or they alleged potential that they bought – they are saddled with the
burdensome debt for the long haul, which is why total college debt in America
exceeds $1 trillion. In comparison, total credit card debt in the US is “only”
at $800 billion.
While the reality of the economy paints such a grim
picture for young college-educated Americans, that same economy paints a rosy
picture for their peers who instead opted for tax-payer funded training as
machinists or paid a nominal fee to develop their skills as truck drivers.
More on this next week.
Gasport resident Bob Confer also writes for the New American magazine at TheNewAmerican.com. Follow him on Twitter @bobconfer
This column originally appeared in the 22 April 2013 Greater Niagara Newspapers
Gasport resident Bob Confer also writes for the New American magazine at TheNewAmerican.com. Follow him on Twitter @bobconfer
This column originally appeared in the 22 April 2013 Greater Niagara Newspapers
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